Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 28.637583 33.035969 37.802876 43.342582 49.592429 56.413993 64.411840
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.208269 27.290355 34.523722 43.708931 55.005296 68.383452 85.360161
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 16.799567 23.595874 32.295684 44.130486 59.673870 79.239648 105.555557
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 12.826292 19.473603 28.551552 41.659344 59.866045 83.988917 118.036677
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.110901 18.007372 27.946015 43.015506 64.917140 95.148400 139.476087
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.016432 17.201782 28.058747 45.236021 71.193673 108.295437 164.477650
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.385501 15.273108 26.188493 44.206090 72.501231 114.346678 179.722143
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.872527 13.268590 23.891637 42.165200 71.945573 117.444844 190.663647
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.487800 13.120892 24.553844 44.866688 78.936993 132.313049 220.175864
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.355504 13.395371 25.934134 48.852879 88.270416 151.380268 257.313885
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.740454 12.668941 25.466009 49.598077 92.254524 162.179379 282.052013
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.087894 11.764320 24.554883 49.437333 94.629504 170.450471 303.140913
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.344430 10.596414 23.082737 48.242132 95.347024 176.444649 321.648028
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.822710 9.817601 22.277822 48.237450 98.253312 186.470867 347.818213
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.408138 9.200487 21.709644 48.613073 101.869352 197.959324 377.230695
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.789561 7.985637 19.719998 45.902731 99.368020 198.365488 387.269922
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.583928 7.735748 19.770859 47.377256 105.071340 213.969211 425.247792
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.463862 7.681697 20.248355 49.795471 112.830839 233.847943 472.103498
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.128507 6.989220 19.157599 48.673494 113.287837 239.988023 494.005286
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.778621 6.177958 17.659330 46.449751 111.221617 241.090604 506.464690
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.739537 6.261461 18.376225 49.393019 120.369299 264.652571 562.960169
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.765173 6.545896 19.636381 53.732950 132.856989 295.534117 635.119509
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.623536 6.281748 19.437100 54.543900 137.628786 311.173429 678.330409